[_ms_izzy]: is. [_ms_izzy]: the mid-session for the actual session, okay. [_ms_izzy]: We triggered highs. [_ms_izzy]: from like session open to session close, this is the median time range, but something I did today was notice when we hit right here, so in correlation to session lows, which was exactly when the session opened at 6 p.m. I noticed that when looking at those time intervals, obviously 10 a.m. would be the common flip like on a two hour, three hour, 96 minute, do you see what I'm saying? [_ms_izzy]: at 9.56, 9.57 am, so I figured they could maybe do the same thing. Okay, where if they don't clear maybe at 1.15, they could try testing our 71.44, 71.43. [_ms_izzy]: this area here. Maybe three to four minutes after that 15 minute mark, like the 150 marks. So [_ms_izzy]: right in here. [_ms_izzy]: and that's exactly what they did. Had they done this a bit earlier, I think that would have been better for odds in terms of clearing, so for instance, if they broke. [_ms_izzy]: four minutes ahead. [_ms_izzy]: they likely would have. [_ms_izzy]: of 115, like those are like 11112. [_ms_izzy]: But we don't really have very, very high odds today of clearing the channel. [_ms_izzy]: Super early, especially. [_ms_izzy]: considering the odds for the week. [_ms_izzy]: Do you think that this was progressive price action, though, in the sense that they at least tested 7144 by mid session? [_ms_izzy]: I know it doesn't really do anything for price, but.... [_ms_izzy]: and the windows are very delayed. Like if they stall at this point in time, which they're doing so far, this is what can continue. [_ms_izzy]: delaying a breakout of this channel, which is, like, this pagebox all the way through to, like, basically, through a box. [_ms_izzy]: Right, and then the latest odds we have are after the close, unfortunately, okay, they're after four. So. [_ms_izzy]: How important do you think this period is yours, specifically between 115-118 and just after two o'clock? [_ms_izzy]: for premium basis. [_ms_izzy]: If you're trading same-day explorations, let's say off 7120s. [_ms_izzy]: This is where we went long off 71.22. [_ms_izzy]: That was an idea to hold core. [_ms_izzy]: So this is these areas here are these green spots. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, these are lower core ranges. They stalled mid core ranges. [_ms_izzy]: We wanna see if they can get it back to year, but that's gonna take some work, obviously. [_ms_izzy]: It's very dumb down. We are looking at this as honestly, if you stall right here again, but then you come back beneath 3-8. [_ms_izzy]: and 3-6. [_ms_izzy]: you're likely just going to keep delaying and it's probably going to do the same thing. The only issue is this point in time, you might be at risk of retesting beneath 3132, which if you do, that's what puts [_ms_izzy]: 7122 back at risk. [_ms_izzy]: which could be something they do if they don't clear this. [_ms_izzy]: just before we're just after two, because... [_ms_izzy]: That's quite a long time from now, from here until, like, 255 through a block, if you think what it does. [_ms_izzy]: That's at least an hour and a half. [_ms_izzy]: two hours. [_ms_izzy]: tool. [_ms_izzy]: Yeah, two hours. [_ms_izzy]: an hour and a half, that's quite a long time. [_ms_izzy]: to basically be stuck. [_ms_izzy]: I would say these next. [_ms_izzy]: 20, 30 minutes are pretty vital. I wasn't gonna stream this afternoon, after streaming this morning just cause. [_ms_izzy]: I don't like channel days like this, like they're very very boring and it's a lot of talking for nothing so [_ms_izzy]: other swing trades. [_ms_izzy]: I would rather wait for another day on another note. [_ms_izzy]: these were all ones that I did off the scan and I did that crypto scan last Saturday. I think it was April 11th, which by the way I'll post it on Substack tonight for whoever didn't join that but this was one of the traits [_ms_izzy]: of that 738 clearance to this 922 they were buying specifically April 24th in May 1st strike so and today they started buying leaps for January for what did we say it was you guys for January leaps. [_ms_izzy]: And you were able to let me just double check. [_ms_izzy]: January. [_ms_izzy]: Leaps. [_ms_izzy]: Oh, $10 or $12 reliefs. [_ms_izzy]: or January. [_ms_izzy]: which I found interesting. [_ms_izzy]: And then another name that came up almost can with [_ms_izzy]: crypto, like for this break back, here was some of the older [_ms_izzy]: EV names, like plug. [_ms_izzy]: And... [_ms_izzy]: This one was specifically me first I think I said. [_ms_izzy]: that they were buying? [_ms_izzy]: Where is it? [_ms_izzy]: And. [_ms_izzy]: Hmm. [_ms_izzy]: No, it may eat, sorry. [_ms_izzy]: May 8th and that was the 250 goals because [_ms_izzy]: They were picking these up on [_ms_izzy]: in here. Okay, do you see that off the 268275? So the idea was if they can sustain above this area here, this is where they are accumulating, this is where they could clear. And 250, they are pretty in the money, they were extremely inexpensive too, if you think about it, because they were the 250 strike. [_ms_izzy]: For me, eighth, okay, when it was trading at the money. [_ms_izzy]: for 40, I think there are 44 cents or something like that. [_ms_izzy]: They were pretty inexpensive, so... [_ms_izzy]: and the ideal was to peer her to 3, 16, 3, 21. [_ms_izzy]: something I noticed, too, in terms of range on this one. [_ms_izzy]: Let me just set some alerts on this, though, just in case they. [_ms_izzy]: Hold on. [_ms_izzy]: I'll set both sides, I don't know if they're gonna clear. [_ms_izzy]: either or right now, but. [_ms_izzy]: important to watch the 3-2-4-4. [_ms_izzy]: Tutu Mark. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, so back to plug this one here. [_ms_izzy]: You see how [_ms_izzy]: Okay, this is when they started buying, okay? You see here how they kind of... [_ms_izzy]: It was like a six-sense breach beneath that too. [_ms_izzy]: 75. [_ms_izzy]: Do you want to see that? [_ms_izzy]: Yes, everyone sees that. Okay, I figured that they would likely stall almost the same on the upside. So our target was at 316 area. [_ms_izzy]: Okay. [_ms_izzy]: Do you see this? [_ms_izzy]: So based on range theory technically, this is still... [_ms_izzy]: This is not the only one that mentioned it earlier. [_ms_izzy]: within this means. So a point six breach makes sense that they likely weren't going to trigger 316 right away. Eddie, you might want to watch this or write this down. I don't know if you're trading this. [_ms_izzy]: Based on today's session, it's closer to like 3, 13. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, so in the event that they come back and retestize. [_ms_izzy]: I think that's technically enough to be considered. [_ms_izzy]: like a viable range for the session today. [_ms_izzy]: and so far this is quite perfect range. If they can clear 316, [_ms_izzy]: 321, 322, that's where this could really extend. Okay, all the way to like that 350, 360-year-age. I'm not sure if this has the momentum to do it all today, but... [_ms_izzy]: They weren't looking for explorations until one pendant. [_ms_izzy]: into me. [_ms_izzy]: This one here is installed at 922, so I should probably set an alert on this one too. Idea was if they can hold above 835, 850, it could come back and try retesting, so... [_ms_izzy]: This one was also extremely inexpensive for the contracts. [_ms_izzy]: They were buying April 17th, April 24th, and May 1st on this one. [_ms_izzy]: I did the April 24th on this one because it just made a bit more sense. [_ms_izzy]: But technically speaking, you could have also done the... [_ms_izzy]: May 1st and they did a really good job sustaining this box range in here. 738 was the area that I mentioned as the clearance break [_ms_izzy]: Along with 760, they kind of stole 760 here. [_ms_izzy]: Yes, I think we should likely look at the range reduction from. [_ms_izzy]: our mid-sessions here just to get an idea of how much range they're actually reducing this by. [_ms_izzy]: because I can already tell that. So this would have been the first target, how they cleared 4448 back to the means at like 71, 51, 52, 53. [_ms_izzy]: on the index. [_ms_izzy]: So you can already see that they're doing everything they can to basically burn premiums this afternoon. [_ms_izzy]: Oil had a decent move. We did look at repositioning into some oil plays on Friday. [_ms_izzy]: I didn't do much though on the the oil hatch. [_ms_izzy]: just because I think Solos only want to took that, but... [_ms_izzy]: And maybe Booth, I think Booth might have taken that too. [_ms_izzy]: but I was essentially looking. [_ms_izzy]: to see if they would basically... [_ms_izzy]: position just a little bit. So this was, I would say this is more of a short term hedge back to our 148, 149, 150. These are initial targets before the breaks to 170 on XOM. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, like back in here, especially when they kind of stalled this range in here. [_ms_izzy]: I don't know if I have mine. [_ms_izzy]: I don't know where my sealed shirt is off to find that. [_ms_izzy]: This isn't it. Optical back and find the CL chart, but [_ms_izzy]: kind of the same idea. [_ms_izzy]: on excellent. I wanted to basically see if they had hold. [_ms_izzy]: close to this 142. See how they stalled 152, 88, 152, 91. These were our calculated 21 point intervals. I'm pretty sure on X-O-M, that we... [_ms_izzy]: We did way back before it ever cleared highs, like back down in here, off 110, 112. [_ms_izzy]: So this is not, it's a good area, but without them clearing this, then. [_ms_izzy]: They're likely not going to get that second light up. This is going to be a huge indication, by the way, if oil fails, these ranges in here. So, like, let's say XOM fails. [_ms_izzy]: our previous long ranges of 147 to 152. [_ms_izzy]: That's a huge leading indication now. [_ms_izzy]: Yes, we'll continue to retest twice. [_ms_izzy]: Okay. [_ms_izzy]: which makes sense because it would be inverse. [_ms_izzy]: cause really any news. [_ms_izzy]: that comes out in terms of. [_ms_izzy]: like geopolitical risk is going to impact what sector. [_ms_izzy]: I'm just gonna set this on your tube just in case. [_ms_izzy]: which sector would be at risk in the event that there was geopolitical risk. [_ms_izzy]: you should be watching this. [_ms_izzy]: as you should be watching this if we come back and start clearing back over 428 on the 10 year. [_ms_izzy]: USDCAD is still seeing a downturn, so this could help, actually. [_ms_izzy]: Nobody knows? [_ms_izzy]: Well, if you guys don't know that, then you probably shouldn't be day trading. [_ms_izzy]: I feel like I don't even have to be a traitor to know that. [_ms_izzy]: oil. Okay. Oil is going to be heavily impacted if there was any signs of any sort of political risk coming up. Okay. And if there were any, like, ceasefire. [_ms_izzy]: agreements or [_ms_izzy]: or rejected any. Okay, that's a good sign too. We can kind of keep watching for that but. [_ms_izzy]: And you could maybe even overlay the index against root and you could essentially see. [_ms_izzy]: Okay. [_ms_izzy]: You can see the divergence between the two. It's pretty obvious. [_ms_izzy]: You see other kind of intertwining right here. [_ms_izzy]: Yeah, exactly. It's almost kind of making this memeable. [_ms_izzy]: I'm basically. [_ms_izzy]: you [_ms_izzy]: until we can cover her. [_ms_izzy]: I have that draft that I just wanted to add a few more things. [_ms_izzy]: All right, you see what they're doing here. [_ms_izzy]: That's exactly what we were just talking about. [_ms_izzy]: that they stall 4 or 4 over the whole time. [_ms_izzy]: like we'll reach us free six. [_ms_izzy]: three, eight. Once they start feeling this range in here, though, I think that's where risk will start to increase, specifically if they bring it back beneath, free six and retest, three, two, three, three. [_ms_izzy]: and that's likely what's going to keep prolonging this and keeping us sideways. [_ms_izzy]: And I'll eat this. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, there's two things they could do, depending on time. So if they were to do something like this and backtest, closer to the 149 period. [_ms_izzy]: Then they have a probability of trying to bring it back above the channel and keep it channel bound for the retest around two. Okay. [_ms_izzy]: versus if they stall right here and then take it, let's say they take out 3132. [_ms_izzy]: than they have probably a higher likelihood of pushing back and retesting this range of year. The sideways scenario would be very tight holds around 3, 6, 3, 8, but then we really want to try retesting for by that 48, 55 window. Does that make sense? So this would be the best case scenario for hour odds, because then at least we have somewhat of a probability of breetesting. [_ms_izzy]: 7149 and 7151 by two o'clock period. [_ms_izzy]: I know this is very boring price action, but let's do our first poll. [_ms_izzy]: So good to hear you. [_ms_izzy]: lines on by, let's say the 2 p.m. window, it's not exactly 2 p.m., but some you want to read for retest, so many. [_ms_izzy]: 133 all over. [_ms_izzy]: of new 130 tube failure. [_ms_izzy]: I'll set that for five minutes. [_ms_izzy]: Let me know what you guys think. [_ms_izzy]: I'm gonna put my board in. [_ms_izzy]: So copy me. [_ms_izzy]: This is a calculated time, it's not a flip, so. [_ms_izzy]: Whereas if it was a flip, you'd want to see the push around 4-8 but. [_ms_izzy]: is a generic flip for the market anyway, I think we said. [_ms_izzy]: Oh, it is a flip too. If 48 was a flip and it was a calculated point, right? That was the point that. [_ms_izzy]: I said. [_ms_izzy]: had calls once, I think. [_ms_izzy]: Yeah, it is. [_ms_izzy]: Yes. [_ms_izzy]: I'm gonna copy pasteator. [_ms_izzy]: and that was essentially you. [_ms_izzy]: based on this condition being met. [_ms_izzy]: I don't remember. I think 155 was a lift. It wasn't a joke at a time. [_ms_izzy]: 208. [_ms_izzy]: I think was calculated. I thought I made them different color shades, so I would know the difference. But. [_ms_izzy]: Let me go back. [_ms_izzy]: Yes, okay. [_ms_izzy]: These were so those were flips, these were calculated times okay. [_ms_izzy]: So I'll mark the blips in white. [_ms_izzy]: Technically 148 is a dual, so it's a flip and it's a calculated range. [_ms_izzy]: 208 was... [_ms_izzy]: also a calculator time. [_ms_izzy]: Oops. [_ms_izzy]: So this would be the window basically. [_ms_izzy]: between here and. [_ms_izzy]: I guess technically here. [_ms_izzy]: I said two, but it's technically two or e. [_ms_izzy]: Who is the flip on the structure? So because this is aligned with session loads, session loads are. [_ms_izzy]: right at session open. So [_ms_izzy]: Okay, for like the stated will. [_ms_izzy]: or 6 p.m. window, this is aligned with two o'clock. Does that make sense? This is what I think could put us at some risk you guys this afternoon, because this is a potential three bar reversal down that could play out. So that's another reason why I think that this period is very important. Mind you, we could stay stuck on some of these wider frames, like for instance the three hour kind of. of. [_ms_izzy]: conflicts with the two hour, four hours since this one could stay stuck till three. So this is a really good way of looking at this from a structural perspective, where I'd like the four hour. [_ms_izzy]: Lips out two. [_ms_izzy]: and doesn't really look like it imposes as much risk as the two-hour. Does that make sense? Because you're two-hour... [_ms_izzy]: is what could make a... [_ms_izzy]: like a bear flag down, okay. [_ms_izzy]: like this. [_ms_izzy]: from now until basically end of session, which... [_ms_izzy]: I don't think would be the case with what conditions what conditions do you think would have to be met before two o'clock to avoid this from happening. [_ms_izzy]: Oh wow, that's a lot more interesting than this. If you like fight ads, it's fun, but it's very boring sometimes too. [_ms_izzy]: So based on structures guys will obviously watch the 2 o'clock period, but so what would the conditions have to be? What did you guys vote for? 7133 hold. Okay, so majority of you think that we won't test 7144 and that instead will [_ms_izzy]: Back test 7133 by that 2pm 208 window. [_ms_izzy]: So I figured because of structural risk on much wider time frames, like the, for instance, that two hour, four hour. [_ms_izzy]: three hours, so on and so forth for two o'clock. [_ms_izzy]: To mitigate that risk, what would they have to do? [_ms_izzy]: I guess I have to start picking on people again. [_ms_izzy]: Are you willing? [_ms_izzy]: Hi, haven't seen you in a long time. [_ms_izzy]: What would you have to do to avoid risk by 2pm? [_ms_izzy]: or avoid that two-hour structure potentially from forming or happening. [_ms_izzy]: There's actually two things that you could do, but what's the more obvious thing that you would have to do? [_ms_izzy]: Right. [_ms_izzy]: We'll move on to... [_ms_izzy]: What would you have to do? [_ms_izzy]: to basically avoid that. [_ms_izzy]: Yeah, two things, the most simple thing would be obviously to retest 7143 7144 right secondary thing would be what sometimes you have to go lower right to avoid going any lower and to go back higher. So another scenario that you could have is you would probably want to retest. [_ms_izzy]: these lows to maybe make more of a star-type reversal, which is back to 7120 or something like that. [_ms_izzy]: Okay. [_ms_izzy]: that scenario. [_ms_izzy]: doesn't seem too likely because you have to kind of look at it as which has higher odds based on how much time. [_ms_izzy]: in relevance to range. So from range perspective, you're only about 2.75 to 3 points away based on this price point right here, whereas over here that's that's like a full [_ms_izzy]: 22 points. Do you get what I'm saying? [_ms_izzy]: hopes to hear. [_ms_izzy]: in specific to. [_ms_izzy]: That's the 20. [_ms_izzy]: to 23-point interval that we were talking about. [_ms_izzy]: That would require some use, probably. [_ms_izzy]: Yeah. [_ms_izzy]: Well, we'd one of ideally whole 32, that's the idea. But this is more in terms of structure than it is price, I guess. [_ms_izzy]: because technically you could still take out 7121, hold 7128, and it would still be okay. Because it's still within those core ratios. Does that make sense? Whereas if you make a higher low, maybe you're on like 7122, 24, then that would probably increase your odds of staying stuck inside until three o'clock. Does that make sense? Because then you'd have like your three-hour, that stuck inside. So, [_ms_izzy]: I don't think either of those scenarios are as probable, to be honest, in comparison to testing 7144, but based on the fact that we tested at 117 PM and 118, but it's good to know what you're. [_ms_izzy]: scenarios are, okay? [_ms_izzy]: Yeah, it is a bit stronger than yes. [_ms_izzy]: to the mix and all this coffee paste is here again. But. [_ms_izzy]: What I just said, but. [_ms_izzy]: To me it made more sense that they'll likely try testing this area first. [_ms_izzy]: based on [_ms_izzy]: The calculated time is true away, okay? So technically, even if they didn't do it at this time, it's still okay, but. [_ms_izzy]: two, three hours, four hours structures, it would be in [_ms_izzy]: our favorite if they [_ms_izzy]: if they did actually test your before two, okay. [_ms_izzy]: That would be our best interest. [_ms_izzy]: I'm just glad that we saw this coming. [_ms_izzy]: That's reductions to got that 155, 155 was... [_ms_izzy]: the flip on. [_ms_izzy]: I set all the applicable frames. [_ms_izzy]: that are correlated to... [_ms_izzy]: fashion order. [_ms_izzy]: Which are these here. [_ms_izzy]: I don't remember exactly which one it was that was. [_ms_izzy]: Might have been the 144-minute, let me just start the chat. [_ms_izzy]: No, that was the one 12. [_ms_izzy]: That was also 112, this is linked to 224. Or that could have been off the 957 stall this morning, actually. [_ms_izzy]: Allfives. [_ms_izzy]: We don't will check. [_ms_izzy]: 218. [_ms_izzy]: is 12, if you want, 28, oh, 289 for Automeric. [_ms_izzy]: This is 48 new one. [_ms_izzy]: Yeah, it was right off highs, that's the 155. So this is a pretty important time frame to watch, I think today. [_ms_izzy]: Okay. [_ms_izzy]: because this runs until session close. [_ms_izzy]: will in the event that they don't. [_ms_izzy]: break this back. [_ms_izzy]: the 218-224-R-Link to hive day. [_ms_izzy]: Yeah. [_ms_izzy]: We'll make these. [_ms_izzy]: green, so was out. [_ms_izzy]: So is this. [_ms_izzy]: action stick. [_ms_izzy]: was also linked to High of Day. So in theory, you could assume that they're trying to... [_ms_izzy]: avoid coming back to retest that and it makes total sense because look over they're stalling like these reductions would have given us the retest of 4344 which is obviously what you need to get back there anyway. [_ms_izzy]: This is partially why I didn't really want to stream this afternoon, because I figured that [_ms_izzy]: if they don't clear of here. [_ms_izzy]: at mid-session and they likely can keep the stock, and they could keep the stock literally all day if they wanted to. [_ms_izzy]: This was the secondary window. [_ms_izzy]: This would be basically the cutoff otherwise all of these are basically after 4 o'clock into session close. [_ms_izzy]: which basically just keeps us sideways. [_ms_izzy]: I think the range off of. [_ms_izzy]: R36 and 38 right now is probably similar. [_ms_izzy]: based on where they're stalling. [_ms_izzy]: Okay. [_ms_izzy]: It's probably cool. You could maybe just use that 4.75 that we were using earlier. [_ms_izzy]: We'll see you here. [_ms_izzy]: I'm gonna get the depends on how much you're willing to risk. [_ms_izzy]: I'm not really want to gamble. [_ms_izzy]: Well, it would also depend on which type of account you're trading and what kind of instrument I guess you're trading too. [_ms_izzy]: This would be the neutralized. [_ms_izzy]: This is where... [_ms_izzy]: I would say risk begins to increase and then again, this is probably where if they were to take this back. [_ms_izzy]: The 7121 that they could see. [_ms_izzy]: that increase in volatility. [_ms_izzy]: So $159, closing a $71.37.75, something I noticed here is that closing price was actually identical to... [_ms_izzy]: Where is the mid-session? [_ms_izzy]: Where did it go? Like just ahead of like 114? [_ms_izzy]: One, 15 was here. [_ms_izzy]: Verse 12, 45. [_ms_izzy]: here. Hey, do you notice this guys? Look at real-time mid-session. Look at the closing price there. [_ms_izzy]: Do you notice something similar here with the 159 clothes? [_ms_izzy]: What is it that they're doing here? And it's pretty obvious what they're doing. [_ms_izzy]: They're keeping this extremely sideways. Basically, what they're doing is, they're stalling just beneath 38, okay? [_ms_izzy]: Closing beneath there, still testing 4448 so it keeps slight odds alive, okay? Sustaining 3132. [_ms_izzy]: And then obviously just above that 20. [_ms_izzy]: 21, 22 Mark. [_ms_izzy]: but this is what keeps you very sideways. [_ms_izzy]: in terms of price action. Does that make sense? [_ms_izzy]: Because 3-7 is, it's still above 3-3-3-2, but it's not quite high enough. I would say that you'd have to pull that least over 3-8. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, and they did the exact same thing at mid session and again here just before to a block. [_ms_izzy]: their only benefit is during [_ms_izzy]: session's mid-session, which is the 114. [_ms_izzy]: And this 118 period. [_ms_izzy]: They did close a bit higher, but these odds in here. [_ms_izzy]: there are more aligned to what point in the day. [_ms_izzy]: What point in the day are these odds here or more aligned to? [_ms_izzy]: for the clothes, right? [_ms_izzy]: So how often have they been giving us breaks after the bell recently? [_ms_izzy]: Yes. [_ms_izzy]: Fably. [_ms_izzy]: It's been on almost an everyday thing, but... [_ms_izzy]: From a time and price perspective today, that would actually make sense if they did do something like that. [_ms_izzy]: At what point in the day? [_ms_izzy]: would they really have to break range for that to be avoided? So. [_ms_izzy]: This period here is the only period that's giving us somewhat of odds, okay? [_ms_izzy]: in relevance to our high update and our low obsession, okay? [_ms_izzy]: This is directly correlated to [_ms_izzy]: session flows. [_ms_izzy]: Okay. [_ms_izzy]: That's everyone on the same page. [_ms_izzy]: for any sort of structural breaks to occur in real time. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, you probably want to break. [_ms_izzy]: max by like that median range of time. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, between the period of like 1.15, 1.17, 1.18 PM. [_ms_izzy]: 240 minutes. [_ms_izzy]: until real-time session closes, which is basically two and a half hours from now, so the median of [_ms_izzy]: Or two hours and 40 minutes would be... [_ms_izzy]: And. [_ms_izzy]: 80 bar span. [_ms_izzy]: So likely around that. [_ms_izzy]: 238239. [_ms_izzy]: this period here. [_ms_izzy]: Do we know we have volatility around 2.30, 2.36, 2.30 a.m.? [_ms_izzy]: Yes, okay. [_ms_izzy]: what period in the day could they try resetting this from? [_ms_izzy]: Let's say from [_ms_izzy]: here until... [_ms_izzy]: close. [_ms_izzy]: And I'm specifically measuring off my 7121 Holt, okay. [_ms_izzy]: That's a calculated spa otherwise I don't care that that's the low of the day I care that that's that's the actual low for [_ms_izzy]: my ranges, okay, so 293. [_ms_izzy]: would be like 140. [_ms_izzy]: Yeah. [_ms_izzy]: six men interval or so, so probably like right around here, from the points in time that they actually started to break back range. [_ms_izzy]: Great, here. [_ms_izzy]: I hope you guys can see that. [_ms_izzy]: like right off here. [_ms_izzy]: This is likely at the point in time that you'd want to sustain structure by. [_ms_izzy]: Okay. [_ms_izzy]: and specific to [_ms_izzy]: 353. [_ms_izzy]: The session close, I think we still have some time. [_ms_izzy]: That's 176. [_ms_izzy]: which would be right above now, okay? [_ms_izzy]: A hundred seventy-six and a half minutes is a calculated interval from these lowers. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, so there's some calculated flips here that could really help us avoid staying stock during the real time session. It's about 176 and a half. [_ms_izzy]: Okay so that would land right around that 205. [_ms_izzy]: 208 window. We already had odds at 208 anyway. So [_ms_izzy]: This could help us in terms of trying to come back and break rage. [_ms_izzy]: And this is the only way that we could avoid basically staying stuck. [_ms_izzy]: in real time today. Does that make sense? From a time perspective in terms of both price and time, so... [_ms_izzy]: I'm just going to double check one thing too. [_ms_izzy]: Someone write that down so I don't go back and forget it. [_ms_izzy]: These were the earlier odds, which they clearly... [_ms_izzy]: Got stock. [_ms_izzy]: Obsession, it's closer to like 424 minute intervals. [_ms_izzy]: which is... [_ms_izzy]: 2012 minutes, so that would have been around this period here, okay. [_ms_izzy]: off these highs. [_ms_izzy]: They're not really us. [_ms_izzy]: as grade of odds, but this is what could keep that window extended to that 236238. [_ms_izzy]: bar, okay? [_ms_izzy]: So well. [_ms_izzy]: 2.36, 2.35, and then this was two. [_ms_izzy]: 5. [_ms_izzy]: in the two way. [_ms_izzy]: If you watch this too, this is pretty cool, because this occurred on a 30 second interval. Do you see how, when they flip 30 seconds, that's when it came back and broke this 7138 mark? [_ms_izzy]: We're here. [_ms_izzy]: this is actually a half minute interval. [_ms_izzy]: So add higher odds of breaking into the last 30 seconds versus like the first 30 seconds. [_ms_izzy]: All in that break. [_ms_izzy]: My period of time was around two. [_ms_izzy]: 208, so... [_ms_izzy]: At least they're trading this back above. [_ms_izzy]: 71, 38, 71, 39, this at least gives you somewhat of an odd of getting. [_ms_izzy]: I'll retest closer to that too. [_ms_izzy]: I thought we had an audit to 12. [_ms_izzy]: I don't know why this thing, every time I go back and reset, it keeps deleting things. [_ms_izzy]: Two, 12. What was two, 12 linked to? Do you guys remember? [_ms_izzy]: That's it. [_ms_izzy]: Twenty nine minute and thirty three are linked to highs. [_ms_izzy]: 21. [_ms_izzy]: 18 [_ms_izzy]: 87 and pretty sure wasn't filled. [_ms_izzy]: here 18. [_ms_izzy]: Fifty-six. [_ms_izzy]: No. [_ms_izzy]: I think that could have been the median. [_ms_izzy]: between the 21-24 for the actual session. [_ms_izzy]: and whoever. [_ms_izzy]: I'm just going to double check all along. [_ms_izzy]: you. [_ms_izzy]: These are all the actual sessions. [_ms_izzy]: loads but I just want to see something. [_ms_izzy]: Well, I got this more in the rooms. [_ms_izzy]: They're mostly 224. [_ms_izzy]: arrange your own. [_ms_izzy]: 12. [_ms_izzy]: just don't remember what it was. [_ms_izzy]: Anyway, maybe I'm wrong. [_ms_izzy]: 224 is a multi flip. [_ms_izzy]: this is linked to hive day, by the way, these green bars are linked to the hive day. [_ms_izzy]: So I think clearing back over 3-8 at these calculated times. [_ms_izzy]: these times here. [_ms_izzy]: could really help those odds. [_ms_izzy]: Are calculated times usually your high stods of retesting highs? This is a trick question by the way. [_ms_izzy]: That's a huge reduction stick. [_ms_izzy]: Some volatility coming in, guys, especially out of this too. [_ms_izzy]: 18 to 24 periods, so just be cautious. [_ms_izzy]: Sorry, fluffy at this point, I don't even know what you're asking about. [_ms_izzy]: Yes, for real-time highs. [_ms_izzy]: which are the high, okay? [_ms_izzy]: that's 205, you mean? [_ms_izzy]: because highs occurred in real time. Yeah, it was off real time highs. [_ms_izzy]: So. [_ms_izzy]: Well, that's why I turned on the mic, the scriptie thing, so at least it records, because just in case I don't write it down and someone else is rated down, at least the bot will. [_ms_izzy]: Yes, it was 176 interval. [_ms_izzy]: The session closed 176, I don't know, that's what I, that's what I said in here, so. [_ms_izzy]: I don't remember exactly. [_ms_izzy]: 176 [_ms_izzy]: There's 176 and a half. [_ms_izzy]: So it's like, [_ms_izzy]: think from there until, like, basically end of session or like session clothes. [_ms_izzy]: something like this. [_ms_izzy]: between that 205, 204, 208 window. [_ms_izzy]: Sorry, this should be 176. [_ms_izzy]: Hopefully that makes sense. [_ms_izzy]: I think. [_ms_izzy]: until this. [_ms_izzy]: 5 p.m. bullet. [_ms_izzy]: I guess you could think that it's like 16th of all, then. [_ms_izzy]: Yeah, they are adjusting it, unfortunately, but that was... [_ms_izzy]: The idea for today, so I guess we can't be upset because this really helps our odds for the 21st, 22nd. [_ms_izzy]: and potentially the 24th. [_ms_izzy]: All right, let's do one more pull here since. [_ms_izzy]: you then clearly see some slight volatility sticks. Okay, earlier, majority voted that they would come back to 7133. [_ms_izzy]: Or 7144, both were wrong, because they didn't do either, or though they didn't go back to 3-3 and they didn't take out 4-4. So let's say by the 2-18-2-24 PM period. [_ms_izzy]: These times of day are aligned to hide. [_ms_izzy]: Okay. [_ms_izzy]: Clear 7144, back test 7138. [_ms_izzy]: I feel like that's probably the, that's probably it. I don't really think there are many options here. I probably should have put that out earlier. [_ms_izzy]: if you guys wanna vote on that. [_ms_izzy]: And these calculated times here were based on. [_ms_izzy]: the actual session. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, let's get some votes and you guys on that. So 224 is the most common flip here, but there are some odds at 218. [_ms_izzy]: When it's a flip, do you want it to happen before or during? [_ms_izzy]: Don't get this wrong. [_ms_izzy]: And no one else. [_ms_izzy]: Answer the question I sent earlier either are calculated times your highest odds of retesting heights but that's a trick question. [_ms_izzy]: I've asked it before and everyone bought it wrong, so I'm asking it again to see if you guys actually [_ms_izzy]: can pick up all night this time. [_ms_izzy]: No, they're not. [_ms_izzy]: Remove that thumbs off. Take it off now. [_ms_izzy]: No, it's not. [_ms_izzy]: Those are calculated intervals, in terms of price, okay? So it's not necessarily an audit of taking out your high. It's basically a period of time that's trying to decipher between your session open, session closed, session highs, session lows, okay? Yes, it could take you back, essentially, to your highs, but there has to be some sort of overlap, or confluence around that specific time with the flip. Does that make sense? [_ms_izzy]: you guys. So [_ms_izzy]: And that technically can give you like the odds of resetting right you can reset your open you can reset your laws you could. [_ms_izzy]: That's what those intervals are supposed to be for. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, second question. When you're, when you're testing at the time of a flip, you wanna test before or during. [_ms_izzy]: What time, right now, do we need to break out? [_ms_izzy]: right here, before. Okay, so what times do you wanna see a good stick? [_ms_izzy]: 2017 PM before that candle closes here 7143 25 being retested off the 217 PM stick. There's a few flips at 218 that are linked to today's highs 220 [_ms_izzy]: had the better odds, but I like that there's a little window hero of roughly five to six minutes, because it not only gives us an odd of taking out a 701-44 and testing it, but it gives us an odd of what? [_ms_izzy]: What can this help us have an audit of doing? [_ms_izzy]: considering we have. [_ms_izzy]: a four minute window here. [_ms_izzy]: our six minute window here. [_ms_izzy]: Yeah, I don't really know if I would say expand would give in this kind of market dynamic today, but at least clear and. [_ms_izzy]: continuation, I guess, at least two. [_ms_izzy]: or seven, four, eight, or something, yeah. Like, at least gives you some odds of getting. [_ms_izzy]: So I'm sort of here. [_ms_izzy]: back to like four, seven, four, eight. [_ms_izzy]: And at this point in the day, this is important because what was 7148? [_ms_izzy]: and you're obviously not going to get any breaks until you finally start coming back above your [_ms_izzy]: 2-18 getting that break of 7-1-4-3-7-5. Still no clearance over 4-4 though. [_ms_izzy]: We'll see if they can take it out here. [_ms_izzy]: session. [_ms_izzy]: So these points here are also lying back to. [_ms_izzy]: Hi, so you guys see that 7.5? There's some slight volatility here, the only reason why this is okay is because we have the box range between 218 and 224. [_ms_izzy]: seven, one, four, four, being retested here. This time, preferably, I wanna see if they can at least try getting a four, six, four, seven, ideally, four, eight retests just so that they can give us some sort of odds of keeping [_ms_izzy]: Um, there's, uh, [_ms_izzy]: like not stuck in an inside range until after three, because then otherwise our odds are gonna really, really, really begin to reduce. Even if that means consolidating. [_ms_izzy]: Beneath six one and five eight, but like above three eight and four four like that will at least give us somewhat of progressive price action for the next hour, okay? [_ms_izzy]: Thank you very much. [_ms_izzy]: Can someone document that? [_ms_izzy]: So I want to ideally see if they can break some range here by like two twenty two two twenty three [_ms_izzy]: 714675 is what I'm looking for in 714825. [_ms_izzy]: This was the area I calculated earlier this morning. [_ms_izzy]: What are the majority vote for? [_ms_izzy]: during this time. [_ms_izzy]: So this is still a little bit more progressive than... [_ms_izzy]: than these periods were, but are we still stuck in a channel? [_ms_izzy]: which is really what can keep us. [_ms_izzy]: consolidating basically all day today. [_ms_izzy]: We also opened in the channel, so odds of that happening were quite high. [_ms_izzy]: What would you have to break above in order for this to have the highest odds, I guess, of not staying stuck? [_ms_izzy]: M330. [_ms_izzy]: in the channel between let's say 230 [_ms_izzy]: These were the times earlier, but... [_ms_izzy]: So these were the calculator times earlier rate, 235, 236, 237. [_ms_izzy]: I don't know why it got deleted again. [_ms_izzy]: Pretty sure these were them. [_ms_izzy]: What do you guys think, what price point, which price point would we have to be trading above? [_ms_izzy]: Two. [_ms_izzy]: I would say ideally before three in order for this to avoid staying stuck that last hour and give us higher odds of being at least in the means. [_ms_izzy]: Which price point do you think we'd have to be treating at? [_ms_izzy]: This was the cutoff period so it seemed like if they can do it as early as here, then our odds of retesting highs. [_ms_izzy]: In real time, our heavily increased, okay? [_ms_izzy]: 71 [_ms_izzy]: 50. [_ms_izzy]: One. [_ms_izzy]: 2-23 testing that 7-1-4-6-7-5 spot that I was talking about earlier. [_ms_izzy]: This is where I have my alert set. This is a pretty calculated price point. I want it to basically see if they can test here. Then we have a decent audio guys of retesting our opening range off this 224 period here. Okay, in the event that they do that, I think it does open up our window a tiny bit for getting some breaks back to 71.51.52. I think just getting it out of the channel for the last hour, hour and a half of the days, what's gonna give us the best odds of getting the 71.51. [_ms_izzy]: or 58, 59 retest in real time. [_ms_izzy]: and any odds of getting to 71, 66. [_ms_izzy]: 64 or 60. Otherwise, I feel like if they keep this stuck. [_ms_izzy]: All the way until here in the channel, then probably not. [_ms_izzy]: And. [_ms_izzy]: At the very least, maybe you could retest 5-8-5-9, but I highly doubt that you could get core ranges if you're still stuck in the channel between the entire period of 230. [_ms_izzy]: 330, does that make sense? [_ms_izzy]: I feel like you'd have to have some sort of like progressive price action. [_ms_izzy]: So let's see. This is the odd that I had for. [_ms_izzy]: This structure break right here so far it's stalling. [_ms_izzy]: they stole it by people. [_ms_izzy]: We'll see if there's any follow-through almost immediately on the 2-5 stick. [_ms_izzy]: How important is immediate follow through if you stall by, like, let's say, 0.25, 0.5. [_ms_izzy]: In this case, they're selling by .25. [_ms_izzy]: Yeah, usually you need at least immediate follow through usually within like the first. [_ms_izzy]: minute or two otherwise the volatility can start to increase which? [_ms_izzy]: You can already kind of see how many here. [_ms_izzy]: 230, 232 are pretty generic times of day every session, but... [_ms_izzy]: I don't really have too much conflict there. Do you see that volatility increasing here? You guys? [_ms_izzy]: On that point, two five stall. [_ms_izzy]: And it could be likely because if they would have cleared. [_ms_izzy]: they could have broken this out of the channel as early as. [_ms_izzy]: this period here. [_ms_izzy]: 3.25 would probably have been a channel break, yeah, it is. [_ms_izzy]: I'm going to still watch the median points between 224. [_ms_izzy]: and 236. [_ms_izzy]: Well, did anyone write down why the 236237 were calculated? [_ms_izzy]: I think I might have sent them in here, though, along. [_ms_izzy]: Yeah, I did. [_ms_izzy]: So that's right here. [_ms_izzy]: That was the median range and time between... [_ms_izzy]: The first test of 7144 at 318 mid-session and 4PM close. [_ms_izzy]: So, what could this point in the day do then, if this is...? [_ms_izzy]: I'll just copy, paste her again. If that's the interval between... [_ms_izzy]: our mid-session and our real-time clothes, okay? So that 118 is not linked to real-time clothes. That's linked to session clothes, okay? What could that help do for real-time? [_ms_izzy]: Pacific to this period year. [_ms_izzy]: that could aid in. [_ms_izzy]: resetting. [_ms_izzy]: Oh, Mexi is here. Like, Mexi would be a great person to ask. Mexi, what would that do if 237 PM? [_ms_izzy]: uh breaks range and that's linked to one 18 119 mid session candles, which are linked to the 5 p.m. session close, but that point in time is directly correlated to 4 p.m. close. Okay, so that could keep your odds in play for real time. [_ms_izzy]: what would that have to get back to at that specific time? [_ms_izzy]: update. [_ms_izzy]: for your odds to be reset. [_ms_izzy]: otherwise the delayed. [_ms_izzy]: breaks all the way through to like three, 330 potentially until after real-time hours is highly increased. [_ms_izzy]: These were the median points in time between 224 and 237 36. So I just kind of wanted to see just how much range they would potentially reduce by break by. So far, that's reductions to get 230. [_ms_izzy]: I guess I'm going to have to ask [_ms_izzy]: someone else [_ms_izzy]: That's a pretty easy answer. [_ms_izzy]: opening. [_ms_izzy]: What are we trading below? [_ms_izzy]: Which happens to align really nicely today with. [_ms_izzy]: the top of the channel. Okay. [_ms_izzy]: What are you trading beneath right now? [_ms_izzy]: This is a really good session to get practice in you guys, because markets are moving slow. [_ms_izzy]: Obviously, we can't do this everyday, so. [_ms_izzy]: And you can already see from 224 onwards. [_ms_izzy]: When they stall 4, 6, 7, 5, 4, 7, 4, 8, you can see the very evident reduction in range. What are retraining beneath you guys? [_ms_izzy]: We're creating beneath opening range, right? OR, we're still beneath OR. We're still beneath the top of the channel. We're still technically beneath. [_ms_izzy]: 4-9-4-8. [_ms_izzy]: So and this is exactly what they're doing. Like all these small breaks, you see how they're preventing this from getting back. [_ms_izzy]: to 61-51, 52, or 71-51, sorry 52-53. [_ms_izzy]: Yeah, it is a frustrating range, but this is [_ms_izzy]: This is what needs to happen for us to get continuation this week, so. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, so what do you have to do? [_ms_izzy]: bye [_ms_izzy]: the 236237 window. I would say, if they don't do this, then I would say 1,000% that they're keeping this stuff for an hour, okay? [_ms_izzy]: What do you think you'd have to do during this period? [_ms_izzy]: because these next odds are pretty late, like all the way through till 255, three o'clock, three o'on. [_ms_izzy]: For Real 9. [_ms_izzy]: Okay. [_ms_izzy]: So, what would you have to do at the very, very, very least? [_ms_izzy]: Give me a minimum condition and give me your ideal condition. [_ms_izzy]: Yeah, that's true. [_ms_izzy]: My style of creating those pretty. [_ms_izzy]: pretty advanced, like I don't think most people trade like this. [_ms_izzy]: specifically in terms of like time and stuff and try to align exact time and price. [_ms_izzy]: but this is a really good session to like study because markets moving slow enough that we can actually look at every single minute. [_ms_izzy]: Brendan, you're the only. [_ms_izzy]: form of hope in here right now in Fluffy. What price point do we have to be at by 236237 at a minimum? [_ms_izzy]: probably close to here. [_ms_izzy]: You think, just at least give us an odd resetting this, so. [_ms_izzy]: No, that's too high. [_ms_izzy]: That that's ideal, what's your minimum? [_ms_izzy]: 4-3-7-5-4-4, do you get what I'm saying? [_ms_izzy]: That noble mom, you're on the right trapped, like, yes, I would say 4, 4, or 6. Okay, you don't necessarily need 48 by this point in time here. Okay, to get an a lot of breaking 4, 6, 4, 8, but you do need to be at least above these minimal ranges of 4, 3, [_ms_izzy]: Because even though they met them here, they weren't really quite above 4-4, okay. [_ms_izzy]: Does that make sense? Like, look at this. [_ms_izzy]: Look at this candle at 21. [_ms_izzy]: And 18, do they close a bob for four? [_ms_izzy]: No, they did get above 4, 3, 7, 5, okay. [_ms_izzy]: The two three candle, no breaks above 4-7, or 4-6-7-5. [_ms_izzy]: So there's basically a 0.25 reduction. [_ms_izzy]: And the higher odds were 1, 236. [_ms_izzy]: 237. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, in correlation to this, this basically can reset this period that we had here. Does that make sense? [_ms_izzy]: because we do have an extended period. [_ms_izzy]: at 248 and 255, 254 that we talked about. [_ms_izzy]: to. [_ms_izzy]: So you're not wrong, it just kind of gives you an extension. [_ms_izzy]: Basically. [_ms_izzy]: for your flock, like this. [_ms_izzy]: the easiest way to look at it. It's not exactly three, but... [_ms_izzy]: That makes sense. [_ms_izzy]: Otherwise, yes, your odds get very, very, very high that you're likely going to stay stuck this afternoon. So far, they're stalling 4, 3, 7, 5, you're at 3, 6. [_ms_izzy]: And I would imagine volatility increasing here. There's some volatility coming in with some volume, guys. [_ms_izzy]: off that 236 it is a mid range stick. [_ms_izzy]: Let me just. [_ms_izzy]: pull up my news feed hold on. [_ms_izzy]: I don't think we've seen anything in the last few minutes. [_ms_izzy]: other than that last. [_ms_izzy]: Weed. [_ms_izzy]: which was this, this was like a few minutes ago. [_ms_izzy]: I could also be off by a minute or two, too, because I manually calculated these, but I figured I was 236.37. So, I mean, we could maybe watch for that minute of volatility. [_ms_izzy]: I would expect some form of volatility here though. [_ms_izzy]: Especially off like a four-four-stall. [_ms_izzy]: Hmm. [_ms_izzy]: Oh. [_ms_izzy]: Okay. [_ms_izzy]: There's also [_ms_izzy]: on numbers that just came out. [_ms_izzy]: Alan, but thank you. [_ms_izzy]: Bye bye. [_ms_izzy]: I weigh in the stream guys. [_ms_izzy]: The 237 stall, I don't want to be sitting here until four o'clock and then not get any sort of movement, sorry. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, I'm going to, I think I'm going to end the stream. I might come back maybe for the last half hour if we get some breaks here, but this is basically how I pictured the session working out today. And as you guys know, we're not going to see any constructive breaks until they get us back above here. Okay, or back beneath three three. [_ms_izzy]: two, two, so. [_ms_izzy]: And that being said, like any selloffs into the clothes would be back to our 70. [_ms_izzy]: 799-7106-711010. [_ms_izzy]: any breaks above 5, 8, 5, 9 would be to 6, 1, 6, 4. [_ms_izzy]: Six, six. [_ms_izzy]: I figure that they'll probably keep us stuck in the channel today. [_ms_izzy]: Unless any sort of traction breaks, which... [_ms_izzy]: doesn't really look like that's going to be the case, unfortunately. [_ms_izzy]: I want to take a look at the two-hour rule. [_ms_izzy]: just because we did have. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, this is good because they basically tried to negate the probability of a bear flag forming by slightly taking out that four four high, so that's good but [_ms_izzy]: So at least risk is somewhat reduced, but that doesn't mean that we're still not stocking these inside ranges on a four hour, three hour that basically run until float. The only next window that opens up potentially is around that 248, 255, I think it was 301. [_ms_izzy]: and 309 window. Okay, everything else otherwise is implying that they would keep this. [_ms_izzy]: potentially. [_ms_izzy]: Range found this afternoon? [_ms_izzy]: Unless they want to save this until end of session today to reset Friday's clothes, like I had mentioned earlier this morning, if they wanted to do something like that, then that would be the only case possible where they could push things into the final minutes of the session flows and we can maybe apply the same logic with high of day, you know that three, four minute interval maybe if they did something a few minutes before. [_ms_izzy]: I'm gonna take a bit of a break. [_ms_izzy]: the 4 p.m. close, so like 354, 55, 56, which would entail for a very, very, very late day move today. Okay? [_ms_izzy]: It's our first, nice day out, literally all year, it's like plus. [_ms_izzy]: 21 outside or something like that. And we have 30 centimeters of snow last week. So I think I'm going to sit outside, maybe on my laptop or something, since this is pretty slow. And then if I decide I want to do a end of day stream all day by snow, but I don't think I'm going to. [_ms_izzy]: All right, thanks for tuning in, and I'll see you guys tomorrow. [_ms_izzy]: You [_ms_izzy]: Thank you. [_ms_izzy] - event: disconnected [_ms_izzy] - event: disconnected [qusay]: Oh. [qusay]: I'll be back. [qusay] - event: disconnected [_ms_izzy]: Mm. [_ms_izzy]: It's a pretty boring, boring day, but honestly, it's... [_ms_izzy]: part of the game sometimes. [_ms_izzy]: Plug on the other hand at least got that 313 break. It looks like it's about to clear it here. I just need to turn on. [_ms_izzy]: volume. [_ms_izzy]: I did see some liquidity that came in after the 310, 312 levels, so that's a good sign. [_ms_izzy]: and [_ms_izzy]: A poet came back to 880? [_ms_izzy]: but it did not come back to 916922 it. It did however hold that 850 mark. So. [_ms_izzy]: I mean, that's the look at this. [_ms_izzy]: Aw. [_ms_izzy]: XOM stalled right off the 149th spot and reversed. [_ms_izzy]: that was pretty clean short. [_ms_izzy]: And yes, this is just stock, because... [_ms_izzy]: It just doesn't really have any odds until basically closed or after the bell. So my thoughts are if they don't get this back over. [_ms_izzy]: opening range and specifically... [_ms_izzy]: by the end of the real-time session, they're probably just waiting till after market closes here. [_ms_izzy]: And it's crazy because remember how I said that the 7144 to 48 is basically. [_ms_izzy]: The mid-mark. [_ms_izzy]: Like that's the area that keeps it. [_ms_izzy]: out of 50% odd, basically? [_ms_izzy]: Watch. [_ms_izzy]: off the little back to yesterdays. [_ms_izzy]: actual session open. [_ms_izzy]: but yeah, basically this area here is like the midpoint. [_ms_izzy]: and that area there is what could get us back to 71, 44, which [_ms_izzy]: could get us back to 71.86, but... [_ms_izzy]: Sadly, it's the median. [_ms_izzy]: Rage, so. [_ms_izzy]: That's why they're cooking for suck! [_ms_izzy]: Hmm. [_ms_izzy]: those serving in our basement. [_ms_izzy]: Basically this, all this reason that it comes. [_ms_izzy]: I feel like you guys might have forgotten. But anyway, it's a pretty big spot, like this range in here. And if they keep us stuck there, then it. [_ms_izzy]: it still can keep odds in play for like this whole range of like 70 80 to basically 71 81, but this is basically like the 50% mark. [_ms_izzy]: This thing was like the best [_ms_izzy]: out. [_ms_izzy]: linking the two put. [_ms_izzy]: It's basically between 7144 and 714, I just don't know why I put that. [_ms_izzy]: That meme at the bottom but anyway. [_ms_izzy]: This was the best way of breaking it down, okay? [_ms_izzy]: So 7144 is basically the median range between our 7103, 710 area and highs, which is technically where we opened. [_ms_izzy]: But in order to keep that odd alive, you obviously have to hold. [_ms_izzy]: Also like the median ranges. [_ms_izzy]: Of the your low is not just your highs [_ms_izzy]: So, between. [_ms_izzy]: You're right here. [_ms_izzy]: Okay. [_ms_izzy]: should be the four, four. [_ms_izzy]: And if you pay attention like this to if you if you make this 71 [_ms_izzy]: 88 you guys do you see how it's linked to like seven one four five if you make the seventy one ninety two do you see how it's linked the seven one four seven so our big big big spot. [_ms_izzy]: Open. [_ms_izzy]: is that 9-3 area, do you see how that... [_ms_izzy]: Okay, is linked to this. [_ms_izzy]: Area 71-02-2 open. [_ms_izzy]: median range is 70 148 okay. [_ms_izzy]: So. [_ms_izzy]: It could imply some zone entry breaks, based on where they open, but obviously they need to get moving. [_ms_izzy]: based on lows to lows, that's where you have the 50% holds. [_ms_izzy]: Okay. [_ms_izzy]: based on these very obvious highs to lows. And then based on highs to lows, it's a little bit lower than that. [_ms_izzy]: Hey. [_ms_izzy]: than highs to open. [_ms_izzy]: So the most constructive and probable areas in real time today. [_ms_izzy]: this is why they're keeping it stuck here. [_ms_izzy]: are clearly 7144 7148 you get what I'm saying and this is exactly why they've made it so sticky. Okay, so let me mark the 7193. I know it's not an area that you guys can see, but it's definitely our calculated spot, so I don't even have to think about it. Like I know that that's the calculated spot, so. [_ms_izzy]: Does that make sense? [_ms_izzy]: There you go. [_ms_izzy]: You're basically just... [_ms_izzy]: It's just your median range off your 7193. [_ms_izzy]: your highs. [_ms_izzy]: your open your closed highs, loads, okay? [_ms_izzy]: These are the ranges. [_ms_izzy]: Do you see how this is stuck? [_ms_izzy]: in between these ranges, basically. [_ms_izzy]: and it's pretty calculated, actually, if you think about it. [_ms_izzy]: Does that make sense to you, Izor? [_ms_izzy]: Not really. So like, we're not going to see any real progress unless they break 48, which is so obvious. Like, that's where they open the session today. [_ms_izzy]: or unless they come back beneath this 2122. [_ms_izzy]: And so for what they've done this afternoon is they breached it just a tiny bit below. [_ms_izzy]: and they're stalling just a tiny bit above. [_ms_izzy]: and this is what's keeping us stuck in the middle. [_ms_izzy]: between 7-1-2-2, 7-1-4-8, okay? [_ms_izzy]: and it basically would be rinsed and repeated. [_ms_izzy]: if they're to come back and back test the ranges. [_ms_izzy]: kind of think of it like. [_ms_izzy]: like this open. [_ms_izzy]: this. [_ms_izzy]: to this low, just open to this close. [_ms_izzy]: that there's a lot. [_ms_izzy]: of support around [_ms_izzy]: Okay, like the 7789 80 spot that we already talked about. [_ms_izzy]: And the officer is [_ms_izzy]: Probably the same from like the range differential. We already looked at this this morning, so I'm not gonna waste too much time But basically like the 4.75 points [_ms_izzy]: Above and below were they closed, okay, do you see it? [_ms_izzy]: this is this is what's keeping us stuck. Okay, this is your max downside. That's to take you back to Fridays. [_ms_izzy]: close. [_ms_izzy]: and you're just stuck in between. Until... [_ms_izzy]: One end breaks. [_ms_izzy]: That's kind of the range. How much range is that, actually? [_ms_izzy]: like with the actual range. [_ms_izzy]: Mm. [_ms_izzy]: Like 84 points. [_ms_izzy]: and based on where they actually went or held. [_ms_izzy]: that 75 point ratio. [_ms_izzy]: Did the 6th have the highest odd of having inside ranges sideways price action? [_ms_izzy]: Specifically, if... [_ms_izzy]: to start the week. [_ms_izzy]: We opened in those neutral type ranges. [_ms_izzy]: mm. [_ms_izzy]: It's weird to heard. [_ms_izzy]: Did this at least help you guys avoid day trading this afternoon? [_ms_izzy]: That's still a win. [_ms_izzy]: Avoiding shitty trades like this is still positive. I mean, we still caught that overnight long. There was a good short this short was probably my better trade. [_ms_izzy]: The long was okay, I did cover some in real-time off the 4-4 test off 2-2, but I ended up rolling them into the 22nd just because it didn't really seem like we had much odds but... [_ms_izzy]: that this help you with at least a void. [_ms_izzy]: Stings doc. [_ms_izzy]: We're premium burning trades today. [_ms_izzy]: So where do you guys think they'll pin this if they... [_ms_izzy]: If they don't take out either or if they don't take out 4-8 by end of session, where do you think they'll pin this? [_ms_izzy]: was pretty certain. I even said I was a thousand percent sure that if they did not break during this period here that they were going to keep the stock until basically the close and I was a thousand percent spot on with that too because I didn't think that if they stalled again at 236 to 37, there's no way that they could push this [_ms_izzy]: by three, it seemed very, very unlikely. There was a slight odd around 256, and they stalled. They triggered 714675, which is good, because this can still keep odds alive for the end of session today, like after the bell, but for real time, like range. [_ms_izzy]: was heavily reduced. [_ms_izzy]: Upper mid channel area, yeah, I would say like anything above. [_ms_izzy]: would be ideal. [_ms_izzy]: 7-1-22, honestly, it's probably fine, but ideally over 7-1-3-8-4-4. [_ms_izzy]: Obviously getting back over 4-8-5-1-5-2 would be the best case scenario. [_ms_izzy]: we'll have to see you. [_ms_izzy]: what they do here into the clothes. So there's [_ms_izzy]: The odds were very late though, like they were right up four in like 355 56, so I mean. [_ms_izzy]: Hopefully, we see some sort of range break into the close year, even if it's back mini 7-1-3-2-3-3. Notice how they did such a crazy job of holding this area too? [_ms_izzy]: So, they're basically stalling every single end, hey? [_ms_izzy]: Does that make sense? You guys, they're not breaking above 4849. They're not breaking back beneath 71332 and they're not breaking beneath 71222. So they're holding the line. [_ms_izzy]: but they're not quite breaking a bomb, but they're not quite breaking back below. This is what creates sideways price action, okay? [_ms_izzy]: There was some volume that came in for like some out of the money call, so I wonder if they try pushing the close but [_ms_izzy]: It would be pretty hard. [_ms_izzy]: to get it back, I guess, to Lake. [_ms_izzy]: almost like the seven or eights, seven or nides. [_ms_izzy]: seven, tens, I like that would be kind of hard. [_ms_izzy]: So what do you guys think conditions would be here into the close before 350? [_ms_izzy]: Pretty good. [_ms_izzy]: Pretty common sense, I think. [_ms_izzy]: Thank you. [_ms_izzy]: grind. There is some cold flow coming in though. The last few minutes, so I don't know. We'll see. [_ms_izzy]: 71333638 holds, ideally over 38, before 350, 71, 44, 43, retest, rate and clearance at the 350 mark. You probably need back over that 714675 by this 350-5556 window. Otherwise, I highly doubt that they can take out today's opening range to pin it flat, or at least pin it like somewhere, relatively decent in this area here around 515-2, or whatever. So, [_ms_izzy]: What do you guys think? Like, I'm trying to trade with other traders. I get you guys don't give any thoughts or any ideas. [_ms_izzy]: like on what you think could happen. Good call and peace. [_ms_izzy]: Eddie, that was a nice play. [_ms_izzy]: So I would say that if they can hold 3-8, [_ms_izzy]: Get back over, four, three. [_ms_izzy]: So. [_ms_izzy]: Kind of like this, four, three, four, four, retest. This would be the point in the day at 350, that I think they'd probably have to retest four, three, four, four, or they would be breaking that structure beneath three, two, three, three. Okay, that makes sense. It should be like a very... [_ms_izzy]: level type of probability between here, okay. [_ms_izzy]: and probably above the 38 range. [_ms_izzy]: What do you guys think? [_ms_izzy]: And then on the flat side, they would basically keep it right in between, which is keeping it beneath 4-4 and above 3-3, which is basically that 3-6-3-7-3-8, and that does absolutely nothing for us. [_ms_izzy]: This odd gives you the probability of pushing to back to this range here for end of session or like the final few minutes. [_ms_izzy]: Whereas this odd here gives you the probability of pushing back to two to two. [_ms_izzy]: two, one, for the final few minutes. I feel like this is very, very straightforward, but there is, it's not even complicated at all. [_ms_izzy]: So we'll see what they end up doing with this, at least if they can get us back, we're four. [_ms_izzy]: This is the 350 flip rate. [_ms_izzy]: So part kind of slowly. [_ms_izzy]: on the volatility break. [_ms_izzy]: We'll see you. [_ms_izzy]: The odds today weren't too high for 350, they were mainly around 355-56, so that being said, that could be a very big sign of reduction. Especially if they wanna maybe keep it afloat but not... [_ms_izzy]: not give us any major breaks does that make sense Brendan like usually when they don't push 350 especially if there's no flips around that time of day which today they're actually isn't they're mostly around 355 56 sometimes that's the case if they really want to reduce range so like that would mean like pushing closer [_ms_izzy]: these price points here, okay, which really limits your probability of getting any sort of breaks above your opening range in real-time today. Does that make sense? [_ms_izzy]: finally. [_ms_izzy]: So it kind of looks something like that. [_ms_izzy]: Oops, like this, this would extend here. [_ms_izzy]: and that would extend. [_ms_izzy]: Basically. [_ms_izzy]: here. [_ms_izzy]: So. [_ms_izzy]: Let's see. [_ms_izzy]: And if that's the case, then they, for sure, would have to try at least testing 4, 4, by the 5, 5. [_ms_izzy]: 5-6 mark otherwise. [_ms_izzy]: That would be virtually impossible to get this. [_ms_izzy]: broken above in real time. There wasn't really many odds for real time anyways. [_ms_izzy]: what's the worst case scenario that they could do here? [_ms_izzy]: into the close for real-time. [_ms_izzy]: which isn't technically the worst case, it's just the worst case for daytrades. But it's actually a decent, [_ms_izzy]: scenario for pitting the clothes. [_ms_izzy]: you being here, like, which I know it's up, but... [_ms_izzy]: That's a very cannibal spot, unfortunately. [_ms_izzy]: So unless something starts to move here. [_ms_izzy]: There's a decent chance they could keep it there. Poet had a really good structural tool here into the flows, so I feel like that's probably worth noting. [_ms_izzy]: heading into tomorrow. [_ms_izzy]: This log is getting the 321 break here into the flows. [_ms_izzy]: 2020 triggering on luck. [_ms_izzy]: We'll close that. [_ms_izzy]: Oops. [_ms_izzy]: All right, 354, we'll see if we can get this retest here. [_ms_izzy]: I feel like if they can test 4, 4, 5, 5, 4, that gives the decent on for the 5, 5, 5, 6, 5, 6 at the highest odds. [_ms_izzy]: for the session retest, so basically retesting opening range. [_ms_izzy]: but that being said, I feel like they would absolutely have to push the 4-4. [_ms_izzy]: and likely at least test this 4, 6 mark here. [_ms_izzy]: Okay. [_ms_izzy]: Did any of you guys take the plug trade even on the back test at $3? That still gave a pretty good trade. [_ms_izzy]: Even if you traded comments on it. [_ms_izzy]: 7142 50 at 354, I don't think is quite enough. [_ms_izzy]: The odds were 355, 56, so. [_ms_izzy]: We'll see. [_ms_izzy]: What do you guys think just quickly? Do you think that they'll take out or test real time open in real time today? [_ms_izzy]: These are the final cut-offs that I had. I didn't really have any odds until after four o'clock, if they don't clear this area here by like 356. [_ms_izzy]: So. [_ms_izzy]: So I want to make it a bit easier to see. [_ms_izzy]: That looks pretty. [_ms_izzy]: constructive here. So plug you guys could go all the way to 360. [_ms_izzy]: four, four, one, four, two. The big areas on this are basically back to six dollars, but... [_ms_izzy]: I mean short term, I feel like the four. [_ms_izzy]: to 3.6377 areas, it's pretty probable like that's not really that far up. Plus the daily chart looks really. [_ms_izzy]: clean and they also had some news. Maybe it sees a bit of an inside range, but generally speaking, this is a very, very nice set up on this, especially if they pin the plowsier. So plug being [_ms_izzy]: test, 321 being tested into the flow-sure on-plug. [_ms_izzy]: I would say he's extremely calculated. [_ms_izzy]: Yes, stalling so far. [_ms_izzy]: There is the 322 break. [_ms_izzy]: Uh, 4.350 is okay, that's enough, I think, to at least give it an odd for 3.59 of, like, retesting. [_ms_izzy]: It's not quite high, but it's enough to keep odds and play, I would say. [_ms_izzy]: We'll see. [_ms_izzy]: Still, I still think the 4401 is the better window, but... [_ms_izzy]: If they pin plug here, I do think that there's very good odds for like the 360 377 continuation on this one this week. [_ms_izzy]: Yes, 7144. [_ms_izzy]: into the pose. [_ms_izzy]: These areas were extremely pitiful, so. [_ms_izzy]: there could be some news after the bell, too, just because there are some odds after close. So we'll see. [_ms_izzy]: Kind of depends on where they. [_ms_izzy]: Thank you Hannah, that's true. [_ms_izzy]: But everyone doesn't even see that value, they just complain about like the shitty price action. It's like, but you should look at the positives that you know to maybe avoid that and trade some individual names or at least know that now odds are pretty good for the remainder of the week based on how they treated it today. [_ms_izzy]: And I even said earlier around 2.30, 2.36, that 1,000% guarantee that they're not gonna break 4748 until around end of session today, based on what they did there and how they stalled. They could still push it into the close, but likely the final minute or two, which is. [_ms_izzy]: Exactly. [_ms_izzy]: what they are doing here. So 71, 44 and 40... [_ms_izzy]: six being tested here before 359, like I said, I think they're gonna try testing right at the session closed guys, 71, 47, 50 being tested here. [_ms_izzy]: and this is where they could maybe push 4, 4, 1, the flip I had today was 4 and 4, 1. So, [_ms_izzy]: That's what could leave it for final minute of the session today, basically. Okay. [_ms_izzy]: There is the opening range being triggered here, 714850. [_ms_izzy]: I fear that the area that they can get this back too is close to like five one five two if they can clear the channel channel over it is a seventy one forty nine fifty. [_ms_izzy]: They tend it right back at open. That is insane because that's exactly where they figure that they keep the stuck. That's pretty crazy. [_ms_izzy]: And so there's some odd that they can finally get out of the channel after the bell, but [camplin] - event: disconnected [_ms_izzy]: I mean, it doesn't really matter for a real time session because all those odds were basically reduced. [_ms_izzy]: Um, I would say that that's a pretty good close 7148's not about close. Obviously they need to now progress. [_ms_izzy]: blog also closed right at 321. [_ms_izzy]: That's pretty calculated. [_ms_izzy]: Hmm. [_ms_izzy]: Unfortunately, that's it. I might wait just to see if there's anything that comes out here guys. [_ms_izzy]: after the bell, I'm gonna stick around for a bit. [_ms_izzy]: Four-nine. [_ms_izzy]: I don't have any more thoughts left for today. I'm done on thoughts, but I just wanna see if they, if they try clearing set, what did we see that spot was, seven, one. [_ms_izzy]: I don't remember. [_ms_izzy]: Seven-one-four-night, seven-one-four-night. [_ms_izzy]: What was the exact spot, though? [_ms_izzy]: Peace. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, so they have to get over 7149.50. [_ms_izzy]: which I think is where they're stalling. [_ms_izzy]: Yeah, they're still in just any thought. [_ms_izzy]: and that makes sense anyway, because that's getting above the channel, so. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, I think this was a good session, despite how boring it was. That's a pretty good close, at least it's above our 4-4. [_ms_izzy]: or eight spot, we'll see if they can now basically sustain the channel overnight to give us the odds of retesting that 7186 high tomorrow, ideally, worst case scenario you guys is if they don't retest highs tomorrow, the issue with that is what? [_ms_izzy]: The issue with that is that [_ms_izzy]: why is this not putting? [_ms_izzy]: The issue with not testing highs tomorrow is... [_ms_izzy]: our two-day flag. Right? We need to keep that valid. [_ms_izzy]: It's an issue if it doesn't remain valid. What has to happen here for this to stay valid? [_ms_izzy]: and specifically before. [_ms_izzy]: the 22nd because if it occurs on the 22nd versus before the 22nd, then volatility is going to rise. We'll have to happen here. [_ms_izzy]: There is a 7141 break. [_ms_izzy]: into the pose. [_ms_izzy]: What has to happen here for those to stay valid? [_ms_izzy]: before the 22nd, so tomorrow, ideally. [_ms_izzy]: Even though it's right now curly stuck in an inside range. [_ms_izzy]: what would help us get us there, which I know doesn't really seem very likely, but I mean there still is technically an hour and an hour and an hour and an hour but [_ms_izzy]: I'm not sure if Mark has enough momentum without news. [_ms_izzy]: Back over seven, one, six, four. [_ms_izzy]: but ideally you also would want to retest or take out the high for that to still be a valid continuation flag, okay? So not taking out the high on the 6th bar. It doesn't mean that you can't do it between the 7th bar period but that would heavily increase odds of volatility. Does that make sense? Because you're doing it too late. It's kind of like think about the minute delay or minute lay on the small time frames on a wider time frame. That would be the same thing, okay? It's the same sort of [_ms_izzy]: concept, basically. [_ms_izzy]: 71 49 50 being tested after the clothes I figured that they'll probably wait to to get this out of the channel after the bill here I'm not sure if they have enough momentum to get this back over 5859 and pin 6466 into the actual session close here [_ms_izzy]: doesn't really seem like that, especially without news. But I think for tomorrow, pinning in the channel, as long as we can now avoid this overnight, do you guys think we've done enough digestion in the zone and channel today? [_ms_izzy]: That's a serious question, but yes, I think so. I think that this is more than enough digestion in the 70, 88, 71, 10, 71, 20, 71, 30, 40, so. [_ms_izzy]: That can help our overnight conditions. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, so now set the overnight conditions to give us the best odds for retesting highs tomorrow. [_ms_izzy]: What's your first condition? [_ms_izzy]: I would say 16, 7,1,20, 2, 7,1,3,2. [_ms_izzy]: Ideally, 7-1. [_ms_izzy]: Three, three, four, three. [_ms_izzy]: best odds are if... [_ms_izzy]: we can sustain. [_ms_izzy]: seven, one, three, eight, seven, one, four, four. [_ms_izzy]: and face above. [_ms_izzy]: seven, four, eight, seven, one, five, two, okay. [_ms_izzy]: Third, retests, seven, one, five, eight, seven, one, six, one. [_ms_izzy]: Friday, close. [_ms_izzy]: Take out 71, 64. [_ms_izzy]: And look for our 716671. [_ms_izzy]: Thanks. [_ms_izzy]: six nine areas. [_ms_izzy]: for real time. [_ms_izzy]: That's when you look for 71, 71, 71, 75, 71, 71, 78. [_ms_izzy]: 71, 81, 71, 84. Want to build and base tomorrow, okay. [_ms_izzy]: Above 71, I would say 7175 to 7186. [_ms_izzy]: because we didn't really digest that area. Remember how I said that earlier? [_ms_izzy]: this area here. [_ms_izzy]: that area was never digested, if you think about it. Wake. [_ms_izzy]: I don't see any real especially when you look at it from an hourly perspective, like. [_ms_izzy]: Do you see any digestive price action between this range? Basically around 70-70 to this area here? Not so much. So now we fully digested this whole area here, like the whole zone and channel is now finally digested. I do think that they did digest the 58-69 area pretty good on Friday when they kept stalling. [_ms_izzy]: Do you guys agree? [_ms_izzy]: area here? Like, I don't think that. [_ms_izzy]: getting those areas there. [_ms_izzy]: it really needs to be digested, because honestly, they did a decent job on Friday. [_ms_izzy]: Okay. [_ms_izzy]: Let me move this down to five two. [_ms_izzy]: So that being said, [_ms_izzy]: It's mainly this area here, okay, and I think in doing so that's what's going to give us the highest odds of getting our targets. [_ms_izzy]: as early as tomorrow, okay? What are our targets? [_ms_izzy]: David. [_ms_izzy]: Yes, okay, 7192, 93. [_ms_izzy]: Those would be ideal targets, so it doesn't really give us much range, but it's still within that it's the same sort of thing It's that 4.75 offset that we've seen happen a lot today at a minimum ideally, you just want to get into the zone 889293 is better, but [_ms_izzy]: Okay, so [_ms_izzy]: If we are going to digest this area, [_ms_izzy]: what time of day would be the better portion to do it. So let's say we, let's say we finally break out of here. [_ms_izzy]: we test here, then we come back and start basing above 4-4 this time and 4-8. Finally exit the channel, test 5-5-5-8-5-9-6-1-6-4. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, start basing above 5-8-5-7. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, what time would you want to do this at? [_ms_izzy]: especially so you're not wasting your time doing it tomorrow. [_ms_izzy]: Do you see what I'm saying? [_ms_izzy]: not really required. Okay, so I think overnight would be the best point in time for that on a downside scenario, I would say that if they didn't we say that even if they still test the 60s and can't break [_ms_izzy]: This is still the means if they stall this area here which is like stalling Friday's clothes. [_ms_izzy]: you could still see volatility. [_ms_izzy]: to take you back to these ranges in here, okay? So don't forget that. That's still a potential probability if they can't clear the means, which makes sense because the means equals volatility. [_ms_izzy]: What could this end up doing if they did something like that? [_ms_izzy]: I don't know if we'd get a full reversal but we could probably get a delay. [_ms_izzy]: right, until the 23rd, 24th. [_ms_izzy]: they would probably just reset. [_ms_izzy]: And it would keep recycling range. [_ms_izzy]: our ranges have been super accurate at least, so I know for a fact that 70, 80, 81 is a super... [_ms_izzy]: and I know that 71448 is the mid-range, and I know that 719293 is the spot they'd have to break to see any sort of continuation and price action. Okay, does that sound good for everyone? In terms of overnight conditions. [_ms_izzy]: what we can look for tomorrow. [_ms_izzy]: Um, in the event we don't take out highs tomorrow guys, but then we don't take out lows and they keep us stuck inside. It doesn't mean that the set that the two day, like, [_ms_izzy]: Free bar can't continue but volatility would start getting a bit higher. Okay, between the 22nd and 24th and the 24th and 28th, which honestly makes sense because those are our bigger flip dates. [_ms_izzy]: That's where we'll start looking for the 23rd as an extension, okay. [_ms_izzy]: And then obviously the 22nd, but [_ms_izzy]: Any questions before I sign off for you guys? [_ms_izzy]: Good to go on. I feel like I sent a lot of analysis today, but not really for big range, but these types of days are the most important for understanding probability and continuation. [_ms_izzy]: because a lot of people this morning, you guys, did you read the chat? [_ms_izzy]: in here and on Substack, just based on general public. Like, people that are either new to the chat. [_ms_izzy]: free subscribers. What was something common that you guys noticed? [_ms_izzy]: based on what they were saying. [_ms_izzy]: What do you guys notice? [_ms_izzy]: was very common against the majority of the public. [_ms_izzy]: And this is what people don't understand. Majority of traders don't get this. [_ms_izzy]: shorting. [_ms_izzy]: And this is what I'm trying to teach you guys so that you're not. [_ms_izzy]: 7,000. Okay, there's a lot of bears because most people just look at it as [_ms_izzy]: Oh, the market has to reverse here. It's been moving up too fast too much. But they don't understand expansion scenarios, timing aspects, okay. Structural aspects, like market structure, conditions that have to be met, these are all big factors of that, right? [_ms_izzy]: How certain was I that we probably were not going to reach us 70-80 today? [_ms_izzy]: If all of our overnight conditions were met. [_ms_izzy]: and I don't know if you were reading my conversation on Substac history with that one person on there. [_ms_izzy]: That was looking for a big short and I was like, you're not going to get that. [_ms_izzy]: and not today. If you are going to get it, definitely not going to be on the 20th. I'll tell you that, because all of us today are pretty low. All of us were super high that they'd keep us stuck inside. [_ms_izzy]: Yeah, exactly. But, so, and maybe go back and read that, because honestly, I did explain it super well last night. I don't know if you can scroll all the way back. It's quit a lot, I know. But if you go back and read the conversation, it'll really help you understand. [_ms_izzy]: why that's not the case, like, so... [_ms_izzy]: He figured that... [_ms_izzy]: We're likely going to see. [_ms_izzy]: Downside reversal. Okay. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, so [_ms_izzy]: There's a lot of factors going into that as to why that's not going to be the case. [_ms_izzy]: over bought and used driven market. [_ms_izzy]: That's not a good enough answer. Not in these dynamics, right? [_ms_izzy]: you have to understand, okay, we're also in a neutral opening probability. [_ms_izzy]: Okay. [_ms_izzy]: It doesn't fully lean bullish, but it doesn't fully lean bearish either, okay. So and. [_ms_izzy]: Exactly what I said last night and this was at like, I don't even know like 12 am I time or something. [_ms_izzy]: So. [_ms_izzy]: If you guys are here, at least try to take advantage of this, because... [_ms_izzy]: I talked to probably three freighters that are not in the sub-stack, all of them are bearish. All of them had the same sentiment. All of them thought that they were gonna see a big reversal today. That, and probably were pretty disappointed that wasn't the case. Okay. [_ms_izzy]: So 21st has higher odds. [_ms_izzy]: And bye. [_ms_izzy]: overbought as well. Right? Like, market doesn't care. [_ms_izzy]: If it's high, it cares about its structure and its price and its probabilities, right? So based on everything we've looked at, we still have probabilities for that seventh bar. Okay, seventh bar is what's gonna decide. [_ms_izzy]: everyone's in agreement. So you're not going to just reverse based on that. Okay, like with that. [_ms_izzy]: That's not how trading works. [_ms_izzy]: I'm just coffee pasting this because I think it's important that if you didn't read this last night, that you do, just in case you had any sort of thought that this could be the case, because this is, I think what, like a majority of people would, would think and I did say that, like, so far structure has been very decent. So these were all very good points from last night. Every single one of my overnight conditions yesterday was met. [_ms_izzy]: Every single one of them was met, 7080 held. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, 71, 10 was retraced. [_ms_izzy]: 7-1-22 was retray, 7-1-10 and 0-6 held. 7-1-28-32 was taken out during London session. Do you see what I'm saying? 7-1-44 was tested right at open. 7-1-58-59 was also tested in real-time, and you can obviously see 7-1-22-32 held for the entire real-time session. So there's not a single condition that wasn't met. [_ms_izzy]: All of these things are kind of what keep you. [_ms_izzy]: within [_ms_izzy]: Like that inside range, but it still keeps probabilities. [_ms_izzy]: Not super high but at least relatively high for a retest, does that make sense? [_ms_izzy]: Like they can technically break beneath 70, 78 and stay stuck inside. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, but the only case scenario with that is obviously if they don't get back to 7132 44 getting back to 7132 [_ms_izzy]: 44 automatically starts to decrease those odds, does that make sense? [_ms_izzy]: in the sense of. [_ms_izzy]: reclaiming. [_ms_izzy]: this area here. Okay, so these are, [_ms_izzy]: I said it last night and I said it yesterday and I said it again this morning, like, basically this structure is what's giving our odds of getting back to 7140s. That gives us a 50% increase in odds of getting back to 7180s, okay? [_ms_izzy]: and we are technically correlated to 7188. [_ms_izzy]: Seven, one, nine, three, okay. [_ms_izzy]: and someone else came back and said, I think. [_ms_izzy]: 71, 79 gets retested and I said again, go back and read what we just talked about, because in order for that to be the case, [_ms_izzy]: They can't do that without testing upside first, does that make sense to you guys? [_ms_izzy]: That could have been the case if they didn't even get to 7-1-40s, okay? If they didn't stall, if they stall, let's say 7-1-448. If they failed 7-1-22 and went back to the 7-99-7-106 structure, does that make sense? Like you can't just have like these reversals happen without any sort of like real structure that takes place or failures that take place. Another thing is is we still had room to 7-80, so you could have still technically tested the yesterday's lows. [_ms_izzy]: made a higher low or even a lower low and still came back to 71.40s. Does that make sense? Like, you might have not even had a continued downside cycle. You could have still held 7080s and went right back to 71.40s. So, a lot of it is kind of just relative. Like, it's not, that's not how trading works and I feel like a lot of people don't understand this. Okay. The biggest advantage that we have right now, you guys, is we know that a new zone entails what. [_ms_izzy]: And we had an advantage way before. I just feel like I'm being honest, you guys are not taking advantage of being here. [_ms_izzy]: until today, basically. [_ms_izzy]: And I know you guys are not you know why because you know how much of a trade this has been since March 31st till April 14th and April 16th and [_ms_izzy]: We've moved 700 to 800 points, and I don't really see any excitement from the majority, okay? So you guys are not capitalizing to the full potential of these trades. We don't get trades like this too too often, okay, where you get like a two day three bar off an annual range, like the 6349, 6388 hold, okay? We saw the hold coming as early as March 31st, [_ms_izzy]: March 31st on March 27th. Okay, so you had two days to prepare to potentially start positioning. Okay. [_ms_izzy]: We saw the three day, two day, four day flags forming. [_ms_izzy]: on March 31st, okay? [_ms_izzy]: And we knew that they could run through. [_ms_izzy]: April 14th if they start basing on the 6.7. So. [_ms_izzy]: I guess, like... [_ms_izzy]: Why are you guys not taking full advantage of that? [_ms_izzy]: That's a lot of money to be made, okay? And a majority of people I assure you did not see that coming, okay? [_ms_izzy]: You have to do a better job of taking advantage of being here. [_ms_izzy]: if you see the emails I get, the tweets I get, the messages I get, most people did not see that move coming, okay. So you're at an advantage, because you know the ranges that we're working in, we knew that we're working in 346 plus increments and that they could move 420 e-forters, 13 points each time, which they did, they did exactly that, okay. We even knew the exact date that they would retest highs, on the 15th you guys, okay. [_ms_izzy]: Okay, is everyone on the same page? I'll give you guys this at this constructive feedback, because to me, [_ms_izzy]: I don't see like... [_ms_izzy]: How you're gaining value, I guess you I could see the value that you're getting from like a learning perspective, but even then no one really participates unless I force them to so. [_ms_izzy]: You're not taking any trades and if you're not really trying to capture and fully grasp or learn this, then what would be the purpose of this to get them saying? So our huge advantage right now, okay? From the 21st through the 24th and the 28th is what? [_ms_izzy]: but I assure you the majority of people are unaware of this. Okay, what's the advantage? I'm gonna get water and I won at least 10 of you to respond, not 1 or 2, 10 to respond, what's the biggest advantage we have from today's date until once the end. The other traders are not aware of, okay? [_ms_izzy]: there's two things that we are in the know. Okay, we understand structure, time and price, okay. [_ms_izzy]: We also have her theory. So... [_ms_izzy]: I wanna see at least 10 of you. Give me the exact advantage that we have against the majority of the market. because. [_ms_izzy]: If you're here and you're not taking advantage of being against the majority of of traders in the market, which is that's who you're trading against, right is is other other traders other buyers and sellers then [_ms_izzy]: I don't understand the. [_ms_izzy]: I'm gonna be back. [_ms_izzy]: the basis of like being here just so that makes sense to me if you guys are not I want you guys to capitalize on these trades these are huge trades we don't always get clean cleared trades like this like quarter core breaks okay so [_ms_izzy]: in five minutes. [_ms_izzy]: If you guys don't answer anything, I'm not streaming a single day this week. This will be the last stream I do until next week. [_ms_izzy]: So no stream tomorrow, no stream on the 24th, no stream on the 23rd. [_ms_izzy]: no real-time analysis just the weekly report.